The Economist used global excess deaths to arrive at the true death toll from the pandemic with a 95% confidence interval.

"Although the official number of deaths caused by #COVID19 is now 7m, our single best estimate is that the actual toll is 27.5m people. We find that there is a 95% chance that the true value lies between 17.8m and 30.8m additional deaths."

#Covid #SarsCov2 #GlobalExcessDeaths

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates

The pandemic’s true death toll

Our daily estimate of excess deaths around the world

^{The Economist}